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Markets Brace for Geopolitical Risks as Oil and Yields Fall

Markets are heading into Tuesday’s session with a slightly positive tone after the S&P 500 gained nearly 1.5% in the previous session. FinTech TV correspondent Mark Payton joins Remy Blaire live from Cboe’s trading floor to discuss what traders are watching, including the VIX, small caps, Treasury yields and oil prices.

The VIX is holding in the mid teens, suggesting relatively contained volatility, while S&P futures are modestly higher and Russell 2000 futures are also edging up. The 10 year Treasury yield has eased back toward 4.93% after moving above 5% last week, while Brent and WTI crude prices are moving lower as traders assess developments around Middle East oil supply and the Strait of Hormuz.

Traders are also digesting the latest labor market data, with ADP reporting an average of about 20,000 private sector jobs added per week over the four weeks ending September 5. Mark Payton explains why geopolitics remains a major market driver, with movements in oil and Treasury yields continuing to shape expectations for inflation, interest rates and equities.

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